|
| Highlighted by the positive outcome
of its drilling program at Wild River, which resulted in significant increases
in its oil and gas reserves, 2M had an excellent year in 2004 |
| |
| Review of 2005 Drilling
Program |
|
| During 2005, 2M participated in 11
wells and the expansion of the Wild River gas plant in west central Alberta,
incurring capital expenditures of approximately $9 million and earning net
operating income before tax of $2.2 million.Shortly after year end, 2M sold its
non-operated interests in 21 gas wells, related gas gathering and processing
facilities and 14.25 sections of land at Wild River, as well as minor interests
at Sylvan Lake, Paddle River and Edson, Alberta for $24 million.All of these
assets were held through a joint venture agreement with a private company.After
adjustments, net cash proceeds to 2M of $19.1 million resulted in a pre-tax
capital gain of $4.4 million on this investment program. |
| |
| Management felt that returns from the
exploration and development of the Wild River property, while acceptable, were
heavily reliant on the sustainability of high natural gas prices.Furthermore,
the capital requirement to fully develop the property was likely to increase
substantially, limiting Middlefield Bancorp s strategic
flexibility.Finally, it was opportune to consider a divestiture in light of
strong buyer demand for attractive oil and gas plays.The decision to divest was
therefore made, culminating in the successful closing of the sale of these
assets on November 17th at a satisfactory profit. |
| |
| 2006 Program and Outlook |
|
| Oil and gas interests owned by 2M
remaining after the sale include a 33.3%interest in oil sands rights on 88
sections of land in the Panny region in northwest Alberta, operated by Devon
Canada Corporation.The company also owns a 16.7%interest in approximately 4
sections of land with shallow gas potential in the Countess region of southern
Alberta, operated by Encana Corporation. |
| |
| Neither Panny nor Countess is currently
producing, however, Devon has recently initiated the reactivation of one of the
shut-in wells at Panny using new technology. There were 16 wells drilled on
this property in the late 90 s, the most successful of which initially
produced 150 boed.All of the producing wells have since been shut-in due to
their low productivity and high operating costs.In combination with currently
high oil prices, however, the new production techniques being experimented with
by Devon may result in these properties becoming economically
productive. |
| |
| At Countess, Encana has recently
applied for downspacing approval to permit up to four shallow gas wells to be
drilled per section.Given 2M s small working interest and the low
productivity of these types of wells, these holdings offer only modest
potential for the company. |
| |
| In 2006, 2M Energy will continue to
pursue new opportunities to participate in oil and gas exploration and
development joint ventures with quality operating companies that offer
attractive potential returns. |
| |
| Subsequent Event |
|
| On November 8, 2005, 2M entered into a
binding agreement to sell its oil and gas interests located at Wild River,
Alberta, along with some smaller related properties.The assets sold included
non-operated interests in 21 gas wells, related gas gathering and processing
facilities and 14.25 sections of land at Wild River, as well as minor interests
at Sylvan Lake, Paddle River and Edson, Alberta.These assets were held through
a joint venture exploration and development program operated by a private
company.The sale transaction was completed on November 17, 2005 for a total
selling price of $24 million which, after adjustments, generated net cash
proceeds to the Company of $19.1 million. Management believes that it received
an excellent price for these properties.The assets and liabilities that are the
subject of the sale have been classified as Assets Held for Sale in
the consolidated balance sheets. |
| |
| |
|
| |
| |
| Review of 2004 Drilling
Program |
|
| During 2004, the company participated
with its joint venture partners in 10 wells and the construction of a gas plant
in west central Alberta, incurring capital expenditures of approximately $4.9
million. Following is a summary of operations in 2004, which involved a five
well program targeting the Bluesky zone, two wells farmed out to Talisman
Energy Inc., three wells that targeted deep, multi-zone potential and
participation in a 15 mmcfd gas plant built and operated by Encana
Corp. |
| |
| The Bluesky program exceeded our
expectations. All five wells encountered good reservoir, in several zones in
some wells, whereas we had anticipated only an 80% probability of success. Our
independent engineering firm, Paddock Lindstrom and Associates Ltd.
(Paddock), estimates that average production per well in the first
year will be 974 mcfd of gas, plus associated liquids and that reserves are
approximately 1.5 bcf per well. Paddocks valuation of 2Ms 25%
interest in these wells on a PV10 pre-tax, proved plus probable basis is $5.3
million as of October 31, 2004. The first well commenced production in early
November and all five are expected to be completed, tied in to the Encana plant
and producing in 2005. |
| |
| The Talisman farmout wells were also
successful. The joint venture partners therefore exercised their right to earn
a 45% interest by paying that portion of the completion and tie-in costs. The
wells are currently producing through Talismans facilities. The farmout
reduced 2Ms capital risk, but diluted its ownership interest to 11.25%,
which Paddock valued at $0.8 million as at fiscal year-end. |
| |
| Up to three additional wells may be
drilled in each of the Talisman farmout sections, but none has been included in
our current capital budget for 2005. Our operating partner has indicated that
it will likely take over operatorship on any new wells, which would reduce our
drilling and completion costs. |
| |
| We also committed late in 2004 to
participate in three, somewhat riskier wells further away from existing
production, only one of which commenced drilling prior to year end. This well
has since been successfully completed in several zones, including the Viking,
which is a potentially prolific producer in this area. With the extension of
this zone onto our lands now verified, we are optimistic that the second of
these three wells may also encounter Viking reservoir. It is located between
the first well and an excellent Viking producer to the northeast. We anticipate
that all three of these wells, will be in production before year
end. |
| |
| The Encana gas plant, in which our
joint venture owns 20% or 3 mmcfd of dedicated processing capacity, is built
and fully operational. Fortunately, the plant has additional spare capacity
available at the moment, which will allow the five Bluesky wells to be produced
at initial combined total rates of up to 7 to 8 mmcfd. As other owners connect
new wells to the plant, capacity limitations will constrain our production.
However, plans are in place to double the size of the plant within the next
year. |
| |
| 2005 Drilling Program and
Outlook |
|
| Acceleration of activity at Wild River
is being driven by several factors that have been making these deep, tight gas
reservoirs more economically attractive to develop. An important contributor
has been sophisticated new drilling and completion techniques that have
substantially reduced costs and improved recovery and flow rates. The
regulatory environment has also been helpful, including the willingness of the
Alberta Energy and Utilities Board to allow drilling of up to four wells per
section, and the co-mingling of production from several zones. Finally, the
deeper wells qualify for an initial holiday from crown royalties. In
conjunction with strong gas prices, our lands at Wild River have become a very
valuable asset, but will require a substantial amount of capital to fully
develop. |
| |
| Our initial capital budget for 2005 is
$7.5 million, all of which relates to the further development of our Wild River
lands. The program includes participation in five wells, doubling the size of
the Encana gas plant, and completing, equipping and tying in wells commenced in
2004. As the year progresses, however, we expect that our operating partner
will likely be proposing to significantly increase the scale and pace of
drilling activity and capital spending in this area. |
| |
| Of the five new wells at a budgeted
cost of $3.6 million in our initial 2005 program, four will target deep, tight
gas at approximately 3, 200 metres, and one will target the shallower Cardium
zone at a depth of approximately 2, 000 metres. Other industry participants
have small interests in the mineral rights on these lands and are also expected
to participate in these wells. A new rig has been contracted from Western
Lakota Energy Services Ltd. and commenced this drilling program in January
2005. |
| |
| The four deep wells will target
primarily the Bluesky, Fahler, Notikewin and Cadomin zones. Multi-zone
completions typically yield production rates of 500 mcfd to 1.5 mmcfd and
reserves of 1.0 bcf to 2.5 bcf per well. It is quite possible that the
shallower well targeting the Cardium zone may also be capable of being
completed in more than one zone. Our previously drilled deep wells have
encountered the potentially productive Cardium zone, but were not completed in
this zone because it cannot be commingled with the much higher pressure deep
zones. Cardium wells in the area typically produce at 500 mcfd to 1 mmcfd and
have reserves of approximately 1 bcf. |
| |
| Revenue Projections and
Valuation |
|
| The following commentary contains
forward-looking statements about expected future events and/or financial
results that are subject to substantial risks and uncertainties. MBN cautions
that actual performance will be affected by a number of factors, many of which
are beyond its control. Actual results may differ materially from those
reflected in the MD&A. Forward-looking statements are based on the
estimates and opinions of MBNs management at the time the statements were
made. |
| |
| For fiscal 2005, projected net
operating income from oil and gas production for 2M is $3.3 million assuming
prices of US$6.10 mmbtu for gas and US$40 bbl for oil. Average production is
forecast to be approximately 265 boed. These projections assume no contribution
from the three wells drilled late in 2004 or from new wells in 2005. The 2005
projections therefore have some potential to the upside, but are subject to all
of the normal industry risks including weather related and other operating
challenges, as well as energy commodity price fluctuations. |
| |
| Paddock valued 2Ms oil and gas
reserves as at October 31, 2004 at $8.1 million on a PV10 pre-tax, proved plus
probable basis which represents an increase in 2004 of $6.7 million from $1.4
million at the end of 2003. |
| |
| Outlook for 2005 |
|
| Natural gas reserve additions continue
to lag depletion rates in North America. US production is declining and
Canadian production, which currently supplies about 15% of US needs, appears to
have peaked. Future growth in supply from sources such as coalbed methane,
liquid natural gas imports and Arctic gas will take several years to have an
impact and will be costly and capital intensive. We therefore expect natural
gas prices to continue to fluctuate around current levels of US$6 to $7 per mcf
due to strong demand growth and increasing finding, development and
transportation costs. |
| |
| Oil price drivers include growth in
demand for transportation fuels from the developing world, particularly China
and India, in the face of production constraints in several troubled producing
nations. High oil prices also contribute to US dollar weakness by aggravating
the US trade deficit, creating a spiral in which OPEC must increase its target
price band to maintain purchasing power equivalency. Historically high oil
prices in the range of US$40 per barrel appear likely to continue to prevail
through 2005. |
| |
| Although high energy prices will
constrain global economic growth rates, they also will help to maintain
interest rates at relatively low levels. Equities of Canadian and international
oil and gas producers should therefore continue to perform well in these
conditions. The positive outlook for the energy commodities and capital
markets, combined with the companys attractive exploration and
development prospects, bode well for another good year in 2005 for 2M Energy
Corp. |
| |
|