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MBNs public
market activities in 2010 spanned a number of industries in which Middlefield
possesses expertise but were concentrated in the oil and gas sector. Overall,
investment performance did not live up to expectations as gains from various
profitable investment activities were more than offset by losses incurred
elsewhere in the portfolio.
Regarding profitable
activities, MBN capitalized on several attractively valued investment
opportunities among mid- and senior-market capitalization oil and gas
companies. Investments included Peyto Exploration and Development Corp.,
Bonavista Energy Corporation, Suncor Energy Inc. and EnCana Corporation. Once
these stocks appreciated beyond our estimation of fair value, we sold down the
positions at an aggregate gain of approximately $0.7 million.
Investment losses
related primarily to positions in natural gas that were assumed based upon the
favourable near-term price forecast and other positive fundamental analysis
provided by our oil and gas consultant, Groppe, Long and Littell
(GL&L) of Houston. To-date, these positions have performed
poorly for several reasons. However, GL&L estimates that the cost of such
drilling significantly exceeds the current realized price of the gas produced.
Attractive gas price hedges which had previously offset higher costs have
masked this reality but are now expiring and cannot be replaced in the current
gas price environment. In addition, the surge in natural gas drilling activity
over the past year has been supported, in part, by large inflows of foreign
investment in shale-focused joint ventures to exploit the excitement
surrounding these plays, notwithstanding that the cost of such drilling, by
GL&Ls estimates, has been approximately double the cash flow from
production. In light of this, GL&L believes that the natural gas drilling
activity experienced in 2010 is unsustainable and is forecasting significantly
higher prices in 2011. MBN concurs with this view and maintains a positive
outlook for the natural gas securities in its portfolio. |
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Outlook
As a result of
additional monetary and fiscal stimulus programs initiated by the U.S. and
other OECD nations, these economies continue to gradually recover. In addition,
on-going growth in the economies of developing nations such as China, India and
Brazil is expected to sustain the demand for natural resources. In light of
this economic backdrop and our expectation of continuing low interest rates in
Canada, we anticipate that the Canadian economy will experience steady growth
over the next 12 months and the oil and gas sector will outperform the broad
equity market.
With respect to
investment plans, MBN will continue to focus on areas in which we possess
expertise including the financial services, resources and Canadian real estate
sectors. We remain of the view that the price of natural gas will increase
significantly over the next several months and will therefore continue to
implement strategies to capitalize on this outlook. In addition, the Company
will continue to seek strategic investment opportunities that offer exceptional
prospects for long-term growth as well as special situation investment
opportunities that offer the potential for significant gains. MBNs
balance sheet remains strong with approximately $1.70 per share in cash,
marketable securities and deposits with brokers and no debt outstanding at year
end.
We would like to thank
our directors and staff for their commitment and support over the past
year
Murray J.Brasseur
Chairman
W.Garth Jestley
President |